Let us not forget, in each of these cases – be it India’s patronization to Pakistani separatist groups in Balochistan or Pakistan’s extended instigation to separatist groups inside India – the ultimate result would be further boosting of armed groups in both the countries. Writes Damsana Ranadhiran
None of the sensible nations in the world would encourage or appreciate any separatist movement anywhere in the world – be it anti-Pakistan activities inside Balochistan province or anti-India activities inside Punjab province and few other provinces in India. But with the unexpected fall of Afghanistan into the grips of Taliban jihadists and its radical Islamic cohorts, Balochistan may ultimately emerge as another hub of global terrorism in the nearest future.
While Indian strategists and policymakers say, they have “right to interference into Balochistan issues” because of “an unhealthy atmosphere prevailing around the roles of Pakistan and China”, in reality, such interference would result in further complication of the security issues of the region, as New Delhi’s extended patronization of the separatist groups inside Balochistan would prompt Pakistan in accelerating its interactions with separatists inside India’s Punjab province, the northeastern states (also known as seven-sisters), and Jammu and Kashmir. Let us not forget, in each of these cases – be it India’s patronization to Pakistani separatist groups in Balochistan or Pakistan’s extended instigation to separatist groups inside India – the ultimate result would be further boosting of armed groups in both the countries.
One need to remember, following America’s recent defeat in Afghanistan, most of the radical Islamist militancy groups in the region would become increasingly active as because multiple players will spend hundreds of millions of dollars towards militancy with the ulterior agenda of gaining strategic advantage. Furthermore, Afghan’s illicit cocaine and captagon trade would go into tight grips of the Taliban, Lebanese Hezbollah, Palestinian Hamas and drug cartels from Colombia, Mexico and South and Central American nations, as well as Pakistani spy agency ISI, which would invest significant portion of profits towards strengthening jihadist activities as part of business strategy for keeping American and Western powers aloof from Afghanistan. In the meantime, Iranian regime will also become a stakeholder in Afghan narco trade as this would generate substantial fund for patronizing and promoting terrorist activities within the Middle Eastern nations, Israel and the Western countries.
Commenting on the upcoming Afghan scenario, a prominent Indian strategist said” “It is a challenging time around. The fall of Afghanistan signifies the rise of the Jihadi movement, and this would give a bolster to further rise of radical Islam, especially in the region. India faces an uphill task in dealing with the challenge in the context of ‘an unhealthy’ atmosphere prevailing around the roles of Pakistan and China. There is also an apprehension that under the given circumstances, the Pakistan-Taliban-China nexus would emerge stronger and could encircle India in the north and western fronts”.
Indian strategists are saying, “Balochistan and its changing dynamics can work as a dampening force to Pakistan’s sinister designs and the radical Islamist forces”.
In plain words, Indian policymakers want a prolonged and enhanced insurgency in Balochistan which would “severely impede the Pakistani army’s capability to sponsor terrorism against India”. At the same time, they also are recommending India’s direct hands with the Uighur jihadists in China’s Xinjiang province. Meaning, India would accelerate its patronization of Baloch insurgency inside Pakistan or Uighur jihadists in China, without considering the adverse impact of such practices.
While India has been regularly blaming Pakistan as a terror-patron nation, New Delhi’s exposed or hidden collaboration with insurgents in Balochistan or jihadists in China’s Xinjiang province would bring the same bad name for India.
Afghan situation has definitely become a major issue of concern for India and many other nations in the region and the world. During such extreme crisis period, most of the nations do commit blunder. Before two decades, American committed blunder by intervening into Afghan affairs and ultimately buildup a huge jihadist force inside Afghanistan for fighting Soviet forces. Policymakers in Washington did not realize, Afghans or the Taliban would never become their real allies as both are filled radical Islamic mindset. Similarly, for India, it would be blunder helping Baloch insurgents or Uighur jihadists, as both a Muslims and are no better than the Afghans.
Damsana Ranadhiran is a security analyst
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