Russophobia ultimately kills – economically as well. The historical experience of previous attempts to “suffocate Russia” does not teach anything, especially when the student does not want to see the world around him as it is. Writes Petr Akopov
In war as in war, but since it is impossible to defeat Russia on the battlefield, there is only one way to achieve our defeat. Economic strangulation from the outside of such force that it led to the collapse of the economy, confusion and a change of power, that is, capitulation. In the West, they no longer hide that they are betting on this, but we also call a spade a spade. This is not about sanctions designed to stop the fighting in Ukraine: we are dealing with a course to crush Russia as such. And that is why we call the measures taken against us as they should be – a blockade aimed at defeating our country.
Speaking at the Federation Council on Wednesday, First Deputy Prime Minister Andrei Belousov said: “The idea of our geopolitical opponents is to isolate Russia as much as possible from the world economy. Literally pull it out of world economic ties. In essence, an attempt was made to organize a global blockade of Russia, consisting schematically of four rings.
Belousov characterized these four rings – financial, trade, transport and humanitarian – of suffocation:
“Block access to financial markets and cut off financial settlements, outlaw Russian systemically important banks, sever foreign trade ties, weaken export potential as much as possible, cut Russia off from sources of imports of critical goods and services, block the most important transport communications, break contacts between people, completely curtail communication in the scientific, cultural and educational spheres.
Everything is so, but the West does not take into account the main thing. The fact that the world has changed and is no longer controlled by the Anglo-Saxon globalists. “It is impossible to completely create such a blockade – to isolate Russia, the world’s sixth largest economy, from the global economic system,” the First Deputy Prime Minister said, adding that the events of the past month and a half clearly testify to this.
Indeed, as Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday , “the blitzkrieg that our ill-wishers counted on, of course, did not take place,” the economy survived:
“The world today is more complicated than it was during the Cold War, when there were two blocs and everything was covered by “Kokom” lists. The world is more complicated today, and in this complex world one country will not be able to maintain its complete dominance. <…> All doors and all windows no one will be able to slam it shut.<…> In the modern world, it is generally impossible to strictly isolate anyone, and it is definitely impossible for such a huge country as Russia. Therefore, we will work with those of our partners who want to interact.”
A blockade as such only makes sense if it is as complete as possible, cutting off the country from most of its trading partners. In recent history, they tried to block Iraq most severely in the 90s, and UN sanctions were imposed on it, that is, worldwide. The same thing has been done in recent years with North Korea, but in both cases the countries found loopholes in the sanctions. Iraq, although it lost a lot in its standard of living, did not collapse, there was not even a change of power there – this required a completely illegal American intervention in 2003. North Korea has long been a closed and almost completely self-sufficient (albeit at a very modest level) country, but in recent years it has been secretly and not very supported by China.
In the case of Russia, we are talking not about global, but about Western sanctions, and even from their side, not total ones. Yes, the West has blocked two-thirds of our foreign exchange assets, but Europe cannot refuse Russian energy supplies. That is, the maximum that a united West is capable of is to try to cut us off from high technologies (banning their export) and complicate foreign trade with the rest of the world by threatening transport companies and their insurers with sanctions. Everything else is empty chores.
Refusing to buy Russian oil, coal, and potentially gas will only lead to other countries buying them, and the same will happen with the rest of our most important exports. Yes, this will entail some temporary losses in budget revenues (partially offset by rising energy prices), but certainly will not stop the development of the country.
An attempt to convince the rest of the world to join the blockade of Russia ended in nothing, everyone could already be convinced of this in a month and a half. Moreover, the longer the West tries to maintain this blockade, the more difficult it will be to do so, even for those who were forced to sign up for it.
In this sense, the recent vote at the UN General Assembly on the exclusion of the Russian Federation from the Human Rights Council was very indicative. It took place on April 7, as a result, the work of our country in the HRC was suspended, and on the same day Russia itself announced the early termination of its powers. But something else is important here: how and who voted. Especially in comparison with the anti-Russian resolution “Aggression against Ukraine” adopted by the same General Assembly a month earlier, on March 2. And on the eve of March 2, and on the eve of April 7, the West twisted the arms of third world countries (and not only them: they put heavy pressure on the same Serbia, as its president Vucic later said).
The first resolution, dated March 2, was eventually adopted by the votes of 141 countries, while only five voted against, including Russia. 35 abstained and 12 were absent. That is, a total of 51 countries showed independence and were able to withstand the pressure of the West. Of course, among them are such key countries as China and India, but still a clear minority. Although it must be understood that not all of the 141 countries that voted for the condemnation of Russia are ready to join the sanctions against us, it is enough to name Turkey, Mexico, Brazil and Argentina, not to mention Serbia forced to support the resolution. But still, the overall numbers were clearly not in our favor.
But what happened on April 7: 93 countries voted in favor of suspending our participation in the HRC, 24 voted against. And 58 abstained (or did not participate). That is, the alignment is gradually changing, and not at the expense of dwarf or insignificant states. Together with Russia, not only some former Soviet republics voted, but also, for example Iran, Algeria, Ethiopia, Vietnam, Bolivia, Congo. And China, which this time did not abstain. Even more interesting is the composition of those who abstained (who in this situation are clearly perceived as refusing to support the West) – these are the key countries of Latin America (Brazil and Mexico), India and, most importantly, almost the entire Islamic world (Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Qatar and many others). In other words, although the formal balance is not in our favor: 93 against 82 (including abstentions), but if you look at the weight of the countries, it becomes clear that on the side of the Western bloc, mainly the small states of Africa and Latin America and almost all of Oceania. And there is almost no Asia, and the same Turkey, which voted against Russia, is not going to participate in any blockade.
That is, the world is changing right before our eyes, and the Anglo-Saxons continue to believe that they have a chance to isolate Russia. And this despite the fact that the already adopted sanctions (especially the freezing of our assets) have caused severe and irreparable damage to the West itself, finally undermining confidence in Western currencies as a means of accumulation and settlement. Yes, the process of getting rid of them will not be quick, but now it is absolutely mandatory for all non-Western powers and regional associations.
Once, by the way, they already tried to block Russia, it was a little more than a century ago, in October 1919. Then the Entente introduced a complete blockade of Soviet Russia, whose authorities were not recognized by any Western state (and there were almost no non-Western ones, except for the countries of Latin America and China and Japan that were in the US orbit). That blockade was conceived as total, and the situation in Russia was the most difficult, because there was a civil war, the Bolsheviks did not control most of the country. And what, did it work? No, the Bolsheviks then defeated the troops of Yudenich and Denikin that threatened the capitals, and in Europe the people were dissatisfied with rising prices due to the cessation of supplies from Russia and unemployment due to reduced exports, and Germany did not join the blockade. So, after three months, she was recognized as non-working, and a year later a trade agreement was concluded with England. And a few years later, trade with the West was already in full swing, however, then he could dictate its terms to us.
If Russia withstood then, then it will stand even more so now, because both the position of the country and the situation in the world are fundamentally different from those that were a hundred years ago. And it won’t just hold out: the longer the West persists in its attempts to “strangle Russia”, the more damage it will inflict on its own positions in the world. At the same time, the West will not be able to play for a long time – that is, to keep the blockade (even a truncated one, only from the western side) for several years, neither geopolitically nor economically. Internal problems, coupled with rapidly changing (and far from in his favor) global alignments, do not give the Atlanticists time to spare.
The historical experience of previous attempts to “suffocate Russia” does not teach anything, especially when the student does not want to see the world around him as it is. And yes, Russophobia ultimately kills – economically as well.
Republished from RIA Novosti