The Hill in a snapshot polls shows Donald Trump defeating Joe Biden and Kamala Harris saying: “Former President Trump leads President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in hypothetical 2024 match-ups, according to a new Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey. Forty-six percent of those surveyed said they would vote for Trump over Biden if the 2024 election were held today, compared to 41 percent who said they would support the president. Thirteen percent were unsure or didn’t know”.
But, Grand Old Party (GOP), who are also known as Republicans will possibly not realize yet – these snapshot polls and media forecasts showing Trump winning the 2024 presidential election is something Democrats are hyping because they want Republicans to think and believe – Trump can win.
Rejecting the possibility of Donald Trump’s victory in 2024, supporters of Ron DeSantis say – he can’t. Don’t allow the intensity of Trump’s base supporters to mask how deeply unpopular he is with the country writ large. He had consistently low job-approval ratings as president – reaching 49 percent a couple of times but generally staying in the low 40s and going down to 34 by the time he left office (which actually seemed high under the circumstances). It was a statistical miracle that he won in 2016 – with just 46 percent of the vote in, substantially, a two-candidate race. Trump could never again win a national election.
Those analysts say: The demagogic riffs that make MAGA crowds swoon — and that Trump doubled down on at last week’s Mar-a-Lago rally (because why wouldn’t an arraignment be the occasion for a rally?) – are exactly what most Americans find deeply disturbing about him. If he is the nominee, the Democrats will retain the White House by ten points or more, with the tide sweeping the Senate and the House their way, too. Trump would have you believe he’s your crusader against wokeness. Down here on Planet Earth, he’s wokeness’s big chance to cement its reign.
Democrats have field-tested their plan. In 2018 and 2020, they backed pro-Trump congressional candidates over more-electable Republicans in GOP primaries, and then crushed those MAGA nominees on Election Day in November. It worked. And the apparent Republican response has been to take Trumpy candidates who have proven that they can’t win elections and put them in charge of state GOP organizations, ensuring more zany candidates . . . and more Democratic captures of what ought to be red seats. The experiment has convinced the Left that the best way to get Trump nominated is to be in-your-face aggressive and unapologetically partisan in wielding law-enforcement powers against him. The Manhattan indictment of Trump has ignited his nomination bid in a way his lifeless announcement of that bid did not. He’s had his best week in years.
And why on a sudden the entire American administration – civil, military and judiciary are exclusively focusing on sending Donald Trump to prison for rest of his life? Reply is simple. They want attention of Americans to be diverted from Joe Biden’s misadventures – for example, new revelations that Biden misled the public about the Chinese spy balloon’s capabilities, the emerging Chinese–Russian–Iranian–North Korean–Saudi axis, banking collapses, Biden’s choice of a mass-shooting at a Christian school (by a woman who identified as a man) as an occasion to fret about trans dignity and victimhood etc. They also want to divert people’s attention from the massive crimes of Joe Biden and members of his family, including Hunter Biden. They want to bury the entire issue related to Hunter Biden’s laptop and selling of his so-called paintings at exorbitant prices, which actually are indirect ways of receiving bribes or lobbyist fees. No one asked a plain question – does Hunter Biden qualify to sell his so-called painting at prices ranging between US$85,000 to US$1 million? Has Hunter Biden even sold his “paintings” ever in his life until his father – the big guy became American president in 2020?
Meanwhile, Democrats are already all set to bring series of legal proceedings against Donald Trump, which will continue at least until October 2024.
Biden Justice Department special counsel Jack Smith, by contrast, is methodically building an ironclad case (or two) against Trump and won’t launch it until the time – legally and politically – is right. Smith has more incentive to coordinate with Fulton County district attorney Fani Willis’s investigation of Trump’s effort to overturn the 2020 election in Georgia; after all, that probe intersects with his own January 6 investigation. Yet, regardless of whether and how much the prosecutors are huddling, if all of them were executing one big Democratic strategy to get Trump nominated and get Biden elected in 2024, it’s hard to imagine that Manhattan court attorney Alvin Bragg would be doing anything different from what he is doing now.
New York attorney general Letitia James has a massive civil suit against Trump based on the financial records that Alvin Bragg’s office has been trying to turn into an indictment. Meanwhile, the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) and federal prosecutors in Manhattan are investigating the financing of Trump Media, which owns his Truth Social platform.
The other looming cases against the former president pose a much bigger danger to him, and they make nominating him in 2024 a terrible idea.
Welcome to the Big Top. Hope you enjoyed the opening act. Remember, though, there are three rings to this circus. So far, we’ve just gotten the clown car. Donald Trump should know that the lions are coming.
It is only natural that all eyes this week were on the state criminal court in lower Manhattan, where Trump was arraigned on the indictment brought by Alvin Bragg. There is no point belaboring the record with the sundry flaws in those charges (see, e.g., here, here, here, and here). So unabashedly political was this leveraging of law-enforcement power against the Democrats’ archnemesis that even progressive commentators have misgivings.
For now, though, the plan is working like a charm. As I’ve been contending since Joe Biden took office, the savviest Democrats know that they have a very weak president whom they won’t be able to nudge aside without exposing a host of problems. The incumbent, for all his flaws, papers over the deep intramural divides and woke nuttiness that a nomination fight would spotlight, to say nothing about the heiress-apparent problem posed by Kamala Harris. The Dems’ best shot in 2024 is and has always been running against Trump — the same guy who won them the Senate in 2020 and held it for them in 2022. If he is the Republican nominee, they win going away.
Don’t be fooled by snapshot polls showing Trump beating Biden — which Democrats are hyping because, for now, they want us to think he can win.
He can’t. Don’t allow the intensity of Trump’s base supporters to mask how deeply unpopular he is with the country writ large.
Democrats want to bury Donald Trump and the GOP so that they can remain in the White House almost eternally. America has already turned into a Banana Republic. Political opponents of the ruling party are facing cruel harassment from all sides. Freedom of expression of the people are cruelly censored by federal agencies, including the FBI. State machinery is used in hiding crimes and corruption of a sitting president and members of his family.
