Americanist estimated the likelihood of a civil war in the United States

There are currently no prospects for a civil war, as well as for a national divorce, in which the Republican states will be separated from the Democratic states. On February 27, Izvestia was told about this by the director of the Franklin Roosevelt Foundation for the Study of the United States (MSU), Americanist Yuri Rogulev.

The day before, a member of the US House of Representatives, Marjorie Taylor Green, said that the United States is moving towards a national divorce, but the country needs to avoid starting a new civil war.

“We can talk about polarization, we can talk about confrontation in society, but secession… First of all, the US constitution does not provide for this in any form, there is no procedure. Secondly, the United States was formed as a single state largely due to the civil war, when [16-й президент США Авраам] Lincoln suppressed the revolt of the southern states by force, ”said the Americanist.

However, the current confrontation between Republicans and Democrats will not lead to a civil war, Rogulev believes.

“But there is no need to downplay the contradictions between federal and state governments. Power in America is divided into two levels. All the power that exists at the federal level exists in the same format in the states. The states have their own executive, legislative, and judicial branches, and the states make their own laws. Of course, there are always conflicts between the federal government and the states, and the doctrine of states’ rights is not an empty phrase. This is such a specific feature of American federalism, but we are not talking about a civil war, ”he said.

Last summer, The Guardian also wrote about the risk of civil war in the United States. Growing distrust of Democratic policies in the US indicates that the country may be on the verge of a new internal conflict. The material noted that since January 2020, arms sales in the country have increased dramatically, and the resulting hype has not subsided.

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