According to a recent survey, forty-five percent of American now has a favorable view of the Republican Party while forty-four percent supports the Democrats. Traditionally though Democrats have had upper hands in favorability ratings, reason behind Republicans gain is because of its tremendous achievements in economy and jobs.
The parity in Republicans’ and Democrats’ favorable ratings marks a change from what has generally been the case since Barack Obama’s election as president in November 2008. Republicans have usually been rated less positively than Democrats over this time, with the Republican Party’s favorability rating for the last decade averaging 39 percent, compared with the Democratic Party’s 44 percent.
Only one other time in the last decade has the Republican Party had a significantly higher score than the Democratic Party. That one exception came in November 2014, immediately after elections that saw Republicans capture control of the Senate and expand their majority in the House, when 42 percent rated the GOP favorably and 36 percent the Democrats.
The overall increase in the favorable image of the Republican Party is a result of a jump in the positive views of Republicans, including independents that lean toward the party. The percentage of Republicans and leaners with favorable views of their party grew from 67 percent September 2017 to 85 percent now.
At the time of last September’s poll, congressional Republicans were in the final throes of an unsuccessful attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act, also known as “Obamacare,” and were losing a highly publicized battle with Democrats over a debt ceiling bill. Since then, Republicans have passed a tax cut bill that was supported by a vast majority of Republicans, and the economy has continued to make gains under the Republican administration of Donald Trump.
Two other major subgroups that tend to be more Republican than the overall population — men and those living in middle-income households — have become more likely to view the Republican Party favorably in the past year.
While Republicans have become significantly more positive about their party over the past year, Democrats’ views of the Republican Party and their own Democratic Party have essentially not changed.
For the Republican Party, less than two months away from an election that could see them lose control of both the House and the Senate, gains in public favorability are a welcome sign. The party has been wallowing in favorable ratings below 40% for most of the last five years after rarely sinking that low in the previous two decades.
No matter how much or how little party favorability affects elections, the fact that Republicans are more likely to view their party favorably than a year ago can be considered a positive indicator for the party, particularly if a more positive image boosts Republican turnout.
Although Republicans’ approval of a Congress controlled by their party remains low, Republicans apparently hold similarly positive perceptions of their party as they do of President Trump (81% favorable in this same poll).
Meanwhile, Democrats have been buoyed by numerous projections that they will make major gains in November, which could lead to a result similar to what Republicans experienced in 2010, when they scored a big election victory at a time when favorable views of both parties were about the same.
Can Republican Party retain its majority in the Senate?
Currently in the US Senate, Republicans hold 51 seats while Democrats 49. Two seats are represented by independent candidate. To get majority, Democrats must retain all of their current seats and get two seats from the Republicans. Meaning, Democrats will need to win 28 seats while for Republicans, if they win 9 seats they will retain the majority. With the growing favorability of the Republicans, it is quite impossible for the Democrats in getting majority in the Senate, at least in the 2018 midterm election.
Can Democrats win a majority in the Congress?
Democrats could not get control of the chamber since 2010. Currently, Democrats hold 194 of 435 seats, short of the 218 they need to regain control. In 2018 midterm, all of the 435 Congressional seats are going to elect their next representative for a period of two years.
We need to remember there are a total of 535 Members of Congress. 100 serve in the U.S. Senate and435 serve in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Democrats will need to win at least 23 seats in the Congress, which are currently held by the Republicans.
Some people outside the US gets confused understanding the meaning of GOP. Here is the answer. Republican Party and ‘elephant’ as it symbol since 1874 and is known as “Grand Old Party” or GOP.
One has to keep in mind that from the end of the Civil War until Wilson’s 1912 election the White House was all Republican, except for two separate 4 year interruptions from Grover Cleveland (who appealed to reform-minded Republicans). After Cleveland was defeated for re-election, newspapers sung the praises of the returning ‘grand old party.’ the initials looked good in sparse newspaper column inches and cartoons.
It’s largely attributed to the Chicago Tribune in the 1880s but some smaller papers were using the term. Iowa Vindicator was using the term early as 1870
Democratic Party officials often trace its origins to the inspiration of the Democratic-Republican Party, founded by Thomas Jefferson, James Madison and other influential opponents of the Federalists in 1792. That party also inspired the Whigs and modern Republicans.
Democratic Party does not have any abbreviation or nickname like the GOP. But in the recent time, Democrats and Democratic Party are referred as Dems by the media outlets.
What is after November 2018 midterm election?
Most definitely, if the Democrats will get majority in the Congress and the Senate, they will begin the process of impeaching President Trump alongside blocking all of his excellent initiatives for the good of the American people. So a long journey of chaotic democracy will begin in the US, which will make the enemies of America extremely delighted.
Statistics from Gallup
Priyanka Choudhury is the Assistant Editor of Blitz. She regularly writes on regional and international politics.