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After Afghanistan, Biden set to repeat the blunder in Iran

Joe Biden, Joke Biden, Donald Trump, Ashraf Ghani, Afghanistan, Islamic Emirate

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After Afghanistan, Biden set to repeat the blunder in Iran

Joe Biden has already earned the bad name as ‘Joke Biden’ because of his disastrous blunder in Afghanistan, which has resulted in Taliban invasion and possibility of Afghanistan becoming a Caliphate and biggest hub of terrorism and jihadism, despite that fact, when he took the oath of office in January 2021, Biden vowed “to make America, once again, the leading force for good in the world”, as well as to repair its alliance and engage with the world once again.

But immediately after assuming office, Biden and his administration are making blunder-after-blunder. They have played role in empowering mega-terror outfit Hamas in Gaza, while Iran has already started getting fruits from Biden by getting hundred of millions of dollars being released from US sanctions. Once Biden re-enter into nuclear deal with the Iranian rogue regime, he would substantially strengthen Iran in emerging into a massive threat to the region and the world. Tehran will further boost its terrorist agendas with the help of its proxies such as Hezbollah, Houthis and Hamas and cause massive damage to the Middle Eastern nations, particularly Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates. It will also risk securities of the United States, Britain, EU members countries and the world.

Meanwhile we are hearing horrifying reports from Afghanistan. Ghani government’s Defense Minister Bismillah Khan Mohammadi said: The Taliban seized the presidential palace in Kabul, completing their blitzkrieg through Afghanistan. President Ashraf Ghani fled in disgrace. They tied our hands from behind and sold the country. Curse Ghani and his gang”. A human tragedy is underway in Afghanistan. The Taliban are executing those who worked with the United States and raping their families.

Commenting on Joe Biden’s blunder in Afghanistan and Iran, Michael Rubin, an expert on Iran, Turkey and broader Middle East affairs and a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute wrote: “Within Washington, the blame game is underway. President Joe Biden blamed his predecessor, President Donald Trump, and the peace deal with the Taliban that set a deadline for American withdrawal. The Trump-era deal was ill-conceived, but Biden’s excuses are disingenuous for three reasons. First, the Taliban did not abide by the deal and so voided it. Second, its deadline for American withdrawal passed several months ago and, lastly, Biden did not abide by other Trump-era deals about the border wall and Keystone XL pipeline, and so the notion that Trump had tied his hands was nonsense.

“That said, while the flag of the Islamic Emirate now flies over the presidential palace in Kabul, the Taliban victory is not the end of the story. The Taliban rampage is less a measure of their popularity and more the result of their Pakistani support and momentum: Afghans seldom fight to the death but instead defect to the stronger side. Biden’s projection of both weakness and callousness was a gift to Taliban leaders seeking to sway provincial governors to step aside in exchange for their lives.

“The Taliban, however, are not as strong as they might appear. In March 2000, I visited the Taliban’s Islamic Emirate. At the time, the Taliban controlled ninety percent of the country. They lobbied Washington to recognize them as Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates had and argued that they “were no more extreme than Saudi Arabia.” I drove through the Khyber Pass from Peshawar, Pakistan and then visited Jalalabad, Kabul, Ghazni, and Kandahar. In every city, Afghans said that the security the Taliban had promised when they initially arrived disappeared quickly as the Taliban themselves started preying on the people”.

About the wrong perception of America behind creation of the Taliban, Michael Rubin wrote: “While some progressives, isolationists, and other critics of traditional American foreign policy say that the Reagan administration created the Taliban, this is anachronistic nonsense: The United States supported the mujahideen like Ahmad Shah Masood and others who became to core of the Northern Alliance that fought the Taliban. The Taliban itself formed in 1994. It is fair to criticize Reagan and the Central Intelligence Agency on other matters, but neither armed those who were Kindergarteners when the Soviets invaded”.

It may be mentioned here that, Pakistan will be the top beneficiary of Taliban takeover, while each of Afghanistan’s neighbors fear the Taliban regime. Afghan militias and warlords will try to seize territory along the border to act as buffer. In this situation, Russia certainly will aid the former Soviet Republics that border Afghanistan since Russia fears radicalization among its rapidly expanding Muslim population.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has made no secret that he has no ideological problem with the Taliban’s extremist platform. Pre-Erdoğan Turkey helped support Turkic warlords in northern Afghanistan and provided medical and logistical support for them through Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. It is unclear whether Erdoğan will allow that to continue although it is more likely he will try to play both sides to maximum commercial advantage.

By extending support towards the Taliban, Pakistan and its spy agency ISI may also face unexpected adversities soon. The Taliban was an indigenous movement in 1994 that Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency co-opted. The ISI did so because their former proxy, Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, was wildly unpopular and so the Taliban, at least initially, was a better option. But the Taliban are the ideological cousins to Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan which is responsible for the deaths of thousands of Pakistani soldiers and civilians. Every country that has supported jihadism for export only has suffered blowback, and Pakistan will not be immune. The end of the American presence also means there is no force there to prevent anti-Taliban Afghans to take an insurgency and terror campaign into the Pakistani homeland. Meaning, Pakistan will face severe situation soon, which may ultimately result in countrywide Islamist anarchism and an end of the Imran Khan era. After Afghanistan, Pakistan is the next avenue of Caliphate.

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An internationally acclaimed multi-award-winning anti-militancy journalist, research-scholar, counter-terrorism specialist, and editor of Blitz. Follow his on Twitter Salah_Shoaib

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