Democrats fear a Trump presidency will find peace with Russia. Writes Ahmed Adel
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said during a conference in Berlin on October 11 that the war in Ukraine is only occurring “because the Americans wanted it”, before naming former US President Donald Trump as the solution to ending the conflict. It is by design, and not chance, that conflict in Donbass occurred during the Democratic presidencies of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, with the lull occurring during the Trump administration.
Speaking at a panel discussion in Berlin, Orbán stated that Biden had gone “too far” by labelling his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin as a war criminal and saying that he “cannot remain in power”.
“That would make it very hard for [Biden] to make peace,” the Hungarian leader said. “This is going to sound brutal, but hope for peace goes by the name of Donald Trump.”
Orbán also said at a separate but recent occasion, and once again in Berlin, that “with Angela Merkel, we would not have war in Ukraine today.” For her part, the former German chancellor, speaking recently from the shelter of political retirement, confirmed some of Orbán’s assessments.
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“We must work on a pan-European security architecture together with Russia that is within the framework of international law,” she said. “Until we do, the Cold War will not stop.”
As Merkel is retired and will not return to politics, the main hope for peace with Russia is Trump, who not only persistently refuses to retire, but, as noted by The Daily Mail, has “An army of more than 200 MAGA candidates ready to fight for Donald Trump’s agenda [which] is marching into November’s midterm races, after a heated primary season that proved the ex-president remains, for the most part, the de facto leader of the Republican Party.”
Trump’s agenda, among other things, has establishment media in the USA rallying against him. One example is Newsweek magazine, which described the former US president as “favourable” to Putin because he publicly remarked: “They actually taunted him, if you really look at it, our country and our so-called leadership taunted Putin.”
From a rally in Nevada, Trump warned his supporters: “Now we have a war between Russia and Ukraine, in which potentially hundreds of thousands of people could die. We must urgently start negotiations to end the war peacefully. Otherwise, we will get to World War III.”
But it is not negotiations and a peaceful end to the armed conflict in Ukraine that is considered a desirable outcome for the West. British General Sir Richard Shirreff, former Deputy Supreme Allied (NATO) European Commander and author of the 2017 book “War on Russia”, wrote in the Daily Mail on October 11: “Now more than ever, the West has to ensure Ukraine has all the support it needs to fight. We must double down […] Although Ukraine is fighting back, a war between NATO countries and Russia remains a very real possibility.”
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NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg also objects peace: “It is important for all of us, that Ukraine wins the battle. Because if Putin wins, that is not only a big defeat for Ukrainians, but it will be a defeat and dangerous for all of us.”
With the current state of Western politics, it effectively means that Trump is the only remaining hope in establishing peace between Russia and Ukraine, and therefore also relieve Russian-Western relations.
Trump portrays himself as an American patriot who tried to return to national values and interests during his mandate, which in his view is also the main reason he went into conflict with China. This breakdown of relations was mostly battled in economic competition and did not empower NATO or major militarization against the Asian Giant. Western elites are afraid of the ongoing process of multipolarity and it is for this reason that they are making irrational decisions, such as escalations, with Russia and China.
Trump understood that America will remain at the top only if it improved cooperation with Russia to the detriment of China. It is for this reason that there is a heightened level of concern about the outcome of the November midterm elections for the Senate and the House of Representatives. Opinion polls predict that Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives.
Some Republican members of Congress and candidates have expressed dissatisfaction with the large amount of aid provided to Ukraine. Almost all Republican members of the House of Representatives voted against the bill that included $12 billion for Ukraine. Only days ago, an anonymous Ukrainian official told the Washington Post that the midterm election is a factor that worries Kiev ahead of winter as Russia could gain an advantage with the new Congress.
The truth is that most Western citizens are now mostly disinterested in the war in Ukraine and are instead angry with their leaders for allowing the economic situation, with high inflation, cost-of-living and unemployment, to spiral out of control. Orbán has not suffered like most other western leaders as his policy has been consistent since the beginning of the war. He also constantly warned about the repercussions of anti-Moscow sanctions.
It appears now though that Orbán’s belief in Trump as someone who can end the war in Ukraine is being shared across the US as well.
