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Democrats scared of November midterm elections

Democrats, Midterm elections, Republicans

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Democrats scared of November midterm elections

Things are not going well for Democrats going into November’s crucial midterm elections — and they know it.

According to a new report from CNN, Democrats are well aware that polling is atrocious for them and that they are more than likely going to lose control of the U.S. House.

“So how likely are Republicans to win this fall? Historically, very likely. The party in the White House traditionally loses seats in the first midterm election of a new president’s term. In fact, the president’s party has lost an average of 30 House seats in midterm elections over the last 100 years, according to Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales. Republicans only need a net gain of five seats to win the chamber this year,” CNN reported.

“That said, losses are not a huge concern for Republicans right now. Given the historical trends working in their favor and the fact that President Joe Biden’s approval rating is 40% in the latest CNN average of national polls, the national environment seems to be working in their favor. And the uptick in retirement announcements by several longtime Democratic incumbents in recent months is a telling sign they weren’t looking forward to serving in the minority,” the report added.

Last month, a report from Politico detailed how Democrats had a “scared-straight incident in a private House Democratic Caucus meeting.”

“A poll was floated showing Gov. JB Pritzker facing suburban headwinds — even trailing Republican governor candidates Richard Irvin and Darren Bailey. Problem is there was no explanation about which suburb was polled. A source familiar with the data tells Playbook that the burb wasn’t Cook County but conservative and swing-district areas where House Dems are trying to gain traction. That didn’t prevent the gulp some lawmakers had,” Politico reported.

Prior to that, a poll from the Wall Street Journal suggested that President Biden and the Democratic Party have lost voters’ trust on important issues.

Despite Biden’s temporary bump in national approval after defending Ukraine’s sovereignty in his recent State of the Union address, 57% of voters said they disapproved of his job performance amid inflation and high gas prices, according to a Wall Street Journal polling released Friday. The poll, which surveyed 1,500 known registered voters, was conducted online and via phone between March 2 and March 7 and had a 2.5% margin of error.

Voters indicated they no longer trust the Democratic Party to handle COVID-19 and public education issues to the extent as in the WSJ’s previous November 2021 polling. While 41% still believe the Democratic Party is better equipped to handle the nation’s COVID-19 response, only 38% of voters believe the Democrats’ plan improves public education, the poll shows.

Over 50% of voters said the economy and inflation should immediately be the federal government’s top issue.

“This is a five-alarm fire for the Democratic Party,” Tom Beaven, who founded Real Clear Politics, said.

Earlier this year, a poll revealed that only 20 percent of Democratic Capitol Hill staffers believe that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer should remain as leaders of the party after the 2022 midterm elections.

In a survey from Punchbowl News, senior staffers on Capitol Hill anonymously revealed that aides from both parties were open to a change in leadership.

The poll found that a whopping 62 percent of Democratic staffers said Democratic leadership should change no matter the outcome of the midterms.

The survey found:

Another 17 percent said Democratic leadership should only be switched if Democrats do poorly in the midterms.

And finally, 20 percent said Pelosi and Schumer should stay.

That compares to 28 percent of Republican aides who said the party’s leaders – House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell – should be replaced regardless of the GOP’s performance in the midterms.

Republicans need a net gain of 5 seats to regain the House majority in the midterms next November.

House Democrats and senior members are pressing rank-and-file members who have announced they will step down this year ahead of what is expected to be a brutal midterm election cycle for the party to stay in their races no matter how stiff the political headwinds.

Members who have announced they will step down are being asked to run for re-election as Democrats hope to stave off what many expect to be a major Republican wave as Biden’s approval ratings continue to tank and Kamala Harris remains equally unpopular amid rising inflation, a chaotic border, and foreign policy crises.

Contents published under this byline are those created by the news team of BLiTZ

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