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In every single battleground, Joe Biden’s rating is bogged-down

Joe Biden, Democratic Party, Donald Trump, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Michigan, Nevada, Georgia, New Hampshire, White House, FiveThirtyEight


In every single battleground, Joe Biden’s rating is bogged-down

While Joe Biden has already emerged into a great burden to the Democratic Party and those who voted for him, his running mate Kamala Harris is considered as a huge burden to majority of the Americans. At this point, most of the Democratic Party leaders and supporters know, for Biden, it is impossible to bounce-back and salvage his sinking vessel.

According to media reports, the polling is pretty clear: President Joe Biden’s honeymoon is over. As of Wednesday, his aggregated approval rating stands at just 42.9 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight—down from 53% when he entered the White House in January. Among post-World War II presidents, only Donald Trump had a worse approval rating (38.4%) at this point in his presidency.


But what’s more concerning for Democrats than the topline figure is the state-level data. Using polling conducted in October, Morning Consult recently calculated Biden’s approval rating with registered voters in every US state. The finding? Biden is currently underwater (meaning his disapproval rating is greater than his approval rating) in 32 states. While he has a positive net approval rating in 18 states—which, by any measurement, are very blue states.

In the 11 states, Biden’s approval rating is underwater in every single one of them. Of those, he’s doing the worst in Iowa (-11 percentage points), Ohio (-10 points), and Arizona (-9 points). Those battleground states are followed by Wisconsin (-7 points), Pennsylvania (-5 points), Florida (-5), North Carolina (-5 points), Michigan (-4 points), Nevada (-3 points), Georgia (-3 points), and New Hampshire (-2 points). (It should be noted that each of these states have a single-digit percentage of voters who neither approve nor disapprove of Biden’s job performance).


Let’s say he runs again in 2024—which the White House said this week he will. If he loses every state he’s currently underwater in, he would lose in a 316-to-222 electoral landslide.

But fate of Joe Biden either during his current presidency and his delusion of running again for re-election in 2024 is not a matter of gravest concern to the Democratic operatives at the moment. Instead, they are seriously worried about the outcome of the 2022 midterm elections, where Democrats are clearly projected as losing their majority in the Congress and their one-vote edge in the US Senate. Meaning, from just one year from now, Joe Biden and his administration will be in a real mess, which will continue until 2024 when Biden and Harris leave the White House with greatest disgrace and humiliation.


According to media reports, the early are not looking good for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. Earlier this month, Republicans won the Virginia Gubernatorial race for the first time since 2009, with Glenn Youngkin winning by +1.9 points in a state Biden won by 10.1 points in 2020. According to Morning Consult, as Virginia voters hit the polls, Biden’s net approval rating stood at just +3 points. Soon after winning that race this month, Republicans became the clear betting market favorites to win both chambers of Congress in 2022.

In April, Biden had a positive (or flat) net approval rating in every single battleground state. At that time, Biden was +11 points in Georgia, + 11 points in Michigan, +9 points in Nevada, and +9 points in Pennsylvania. Not too far behind those states in April were his positive net approval ratings in Arizona (+8 points), Florida (+8 points), Wisconsin (+7 points), North Carolina (+7 points), New Hampshire (+7 points), and Ohio (+2 points). While in Iowa, he was +0 points.


Biden’s approval rating was holding steady through the spring and early summer as COVID-19 vaccines helped boost the economic recovery. But in August, that popularity began to fade quickly. During that month, the Biden Administration was sharply criticized for its handling of its Afghanistan withdrawal—and the Taliban’s recapture the country seemingly overnight. Around that same time, hospitals in parts of the country were filling up again with COVID-19 patients due to the Delta variant. Additionally, inflation last month soared to a 31-year high.

While many of the political analysts in the US are asking – can Joe Biden recover, the reply is negative. Another matter which would be a great headache and possibly disastrous for Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and Democrats is – several investigative journalists in the US currently are working on bombshell exposure of corruption, nepotism and numerous forms of crimes committed by some of the family members of the US President and Vice President as well as heavy-weight figures including Nancy Pelosi. Possibly publication of these reports would be a real disaster to the Democratic Party – a much serious than the WaterGate.

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Contents published under this byline are those created by the news team of BLiTZ

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