Even two weeks ago, Democrats were confident of willing a landslide during the midterm polls in 2022. But now, President Joe Biden and his team along with majority of the Democratic Party’s leaders and policymakers have started believing, Biden’s disastrous Afghanistan policy is going to bring humiliating defeat of party’s candidate during 2022 midterms. According to media reports, Democrats are now terribly frustrated and those leaders with proven track records of winning tough districts are not running for re-election. Meanwhile, Republicans are enjoying early fundraising windfalls. In the US, midterm elections almost always break against the president’s party, it is highly anticipated that Joe Biden will lose control of the House and Senate in 2022, with Republicans winning hugely. Meaning, Biden-Harris administration will not be able to play whimsically with the fate of the US and its people.
The early indicators that showed Democrats poised to make big gains in Congress four years ago now point the other direction, suggesting that the narrow 220-212 Democratic House majority is in serious danger.
“Based on all factors, you’d have to consider Republicans the early favorites for the House majority in 2022,” said David Wasserman, who tracks congressional races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Now for Joe Biden, the only hope is to see miracle or surprise during the midterm elections, although analysts say, Afghanistan case and the subsequent rise of Al Qaeda and other radical Islamic militancy groups will certainly turn Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and many of the key figures in the administration into darlings of jihadists and terrorists and prime enemies of the American people.
House Democrats think voters will reward them for advancing President Joe Biden’s generally popular agenda, which involves showering infrastructure money on virtually every district in the country and sending checks directly to millions of parents. And they think voters will punish Republicans for their rhetoric about the Covid-19 pandemic and the 2020 election.
But current reality is just against the expectations of the House Democrats as well as Democrat Senate. Americans in general are against radical Islamic militancy and the way Biden-Harris administration has miserably failed in Afghanistan paving path to Taliban invasion and subsequently Afghanistan emerging into an ‘Islamic Emirate’, American voters, irrespective of their party affiliation will almost certainly reject Biden-Harris as well as Democratic Party.
Rejecting Democratic Party’s humiliating defeats in the 2022 midterm elections, Tim Persico, executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee said: “Democrats are delivering results, bringing back the economy, getting people back to work, passing the largest middle-class tax cut in history, while Republicans are engaged in frankly violent conspiracy theory rhetoric around lies in service of Donald Trump”.
But most of the key analysts of the Democratic Party believe, they are going to face real and numerous challenges.
Rep. Tom Emmer, (R-Minn) said, “House Republicans are in a great position to retake the majority”.
Emmer and other Republicans say they think they can continue to press their advantage on divisive issues supported by the “far left” and make hay of rising inflation and crime rates. “We are going to continue to relentlessly hold House Democrats accountable for their socialist agenda,” Emmer said.
Rep. Ron Kind of Wisconsin, one of just seven Democrats representing districts Trump won, shocked politicos Wednesday when he announced that he’d “run out of gas” and wouldn’t seek a 14th term in Congress.
His rural district had been trending Republican for years. Kind won re-election last year by just about 10,000 votes.
Incumbency is an enormous advantage — well over 90 percent of members of Congress win re-election — and some Democrats worry that lawmakers like Kind who are abandoning swing districts this year are the only ones who can win them.
Reps. Tim Ryan of Ohio and Conor Lamb of Pennsylvania are running for the Senate instead of re-election in battleground Rust Belt districts. Florida Republican-turned-Democrat Charlie Crist is running for governor again in a swing area. Rep. Cheri Bustos of Illinois, the most recent chairwoman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, is retiring from a district Trump won, and Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona is opting against another run in a district that leans only narrowly blue.
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